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24 December 2011

Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook For USAID / FEWS-NET - December 22 – December 28, 2011 (Zambia and 11 others )

The eastward propagation of rain-bearing weather systems has brought heavy rainfall across Zambia, Zimbabwe, southern and central Mozambique during the past week.

Despite an increase in rainfall during the past two weeks, an erratic rainfall distribution since the start of the season has resulted in dryness over portions of South Africa, Lesotho, and Swaziland. The delay to the onset of the rainfall season has also led to short-term dryness in northern Zimbabwe and western Mozambique. However, rainfall forecasts suggest a continuation of heavy rainfall across southern Africa during the next week. This is expected to further eliminate moisture deficits and aid cropping activities in the region.

During the next week, rainfall forecasts indicate a continuation of heavy rainfall across southern Africa, with the highest probability of heavy rainfall over parts of Angola, Zambia, Tanzania, and South Africa. Meanwhile, moderate (20 – 40 mm) to locally heavy rainfall is forecast over northern Zimbabwe and western Mozambique. Further south, the interaction of tropical and subtropical weather systems is expected to bring heavy rainfall over eastern South Africa, Lesotho, and Swaziland during the next week. This is expected to bring relief to the dryness and benefit cropping activities over the dry portions of southern Africa.

The full climate prediction outlook can be found by clicking on the following link: Download PDF (442.05 KB)

- NOAA - Fews.Net - USAid